Her er min analyse for 2. runde av Accenture World Golf Championship Match Play 2010.
BOBBY JONES:
Kl. 1942: McGowan vs. Ishikawa
– Snitt vinnerodds: 193/131
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 1-0/1-0
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/0
– Match odds: 2,29 Pinnacle / 1,732 Betfair (1,77 før kommisjon), 1,73 hos mange.. (98,6 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 47/53
– Vurdering: Ishikawa har vist bedre form i år og er en veldig lovende spiller, han har også et spill som passer bedre tip match og denne banen, men McGowan er mer erfaren, og han slo ut top seed Stricker i går, nå spilte ikke Stricker noe godt, men det er likevel noe som gir selvtillit videre. Jeg anbefaler 3 units på McGowan til 2,29 i odds.
Kl. 1954: Karlsson vs. Jaidee
– Snitt vinnerodds: 41/159
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 1-4/1-0
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 1-1-0/0
– Match odds: 1,7 Sportingbet, 1,67 Extrabet / 2,5 Bodog, StanJames, 2,416 BetDAQ (2,49 før kommisjon). (101,9 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 56/44.
– Vurdering: Karlsson vant for noen uker siden ette rå ha slitt i en lengre periode, dette er dog kun 1 turnering, og jeg vil fortsatt si at Jaidee har vist bedre form i år og i fjor enn Karlsson, som en tidligere storspiller med begynnende fin form igjen vil jeg likevel ha Karlsson som en favoritt, en ikke noen stor. Jeg anbefaler 3 units på Jaidee til 2,5 i odds.
Kl. 1806: J.M. Singh vs. Kuchar
– Snitt vinnerodds: 171/70
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 1-2/1-0
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/0
– Match odds: 2,38 Sportingbet / 1,732 Betfair (1,77 før kommisjon), 1,73 Betfred. (100,2 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 43/57.
– Vurdering: Kuchar er i best form, men Singh er dyktig spiller, og skal ha en god sjanse her. Jeg ser en liten verdi i Singh, og velger å gi den 2 units da Sportingbet også skiller seg ut fra resten av markedet med sine 2,38 i odds.
Kl. 1818: Poulter vs. Scott
– Snitt vinnerodds: 27/92
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 12-6/13-7
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 2-0-0/1-3-0
– Match odds: 1,684 BetDAQ (1,72 før kommisjon), 1,67 Sportingbet mfl. / 2,38 Pinnacle, Ladbrokes. (98,6 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 59/41.
– Vurdering: Scott har ikke startet denne sesongen like godt som han avsluttet fjorårets etter en lengre periode med dårlig spill, men jeg tror han vil ha en langt bedre sesong i år likevel, Poulter må dog sies å ha noe bedre form, han spilte bedre i går og han har en meget god match historikk. Jeg er ganske enig med bookiene her, så anbefaler ingen spill.
BEN HOGAN
Kl. 1854: Kaymer vs. Clark
– Snitt vinnerodds: 20/62
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 2-1/4-5
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/1-2-0
– Match odds: 1,694 Betfair (1,73 før kommisjon), 1,67 Sportingbet / 2,41 Pinnacle, 2,4 Skybet. (99,5 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 58/42.
– Vurdering: Kaymer er en svært dyktig spillere som har samset opp seire på Europa-Touren den siste tiden, men Clark er også i svært god form og skal ha en grei sjanse mot Kaymer, selv om dette ikke er den perfekte banen for hans spill. Jeg er ganske enig med bookiene her og anbefaler ingen spill.
Kl. 1906: Garcia vs. A. Hansen
– Snitt vinnerodds: 43/134
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 8-7/1-3
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 1-4-0/0
– Match odds: 1,769 Pinnacle / 2,3 Totesport. 2,27 Expekt. (100 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 58/42.
– Vurdering: Garcia sin start på sesongen etter en liten skade i håndleddet har vært litt både-og, noen gode og noen dårlige runder, men jeg rangerer han absolutt sterkere enn Anders Hansen, og jeg synes 1,769 blir en smule for høy odds her. Jeg anbefaler 2 units.
Kl. 1718: McIlroy vs. Wilson
– Snitt vinnerodds: 17/85
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 4-1/3-1
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/0-1-0
– Match odds: 1,57 12bet, BetDAQ/Betfair (1,6 før kommisjon) / 2,68 Pinnacle. (99 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 62/38.
– Vurdering: Ganske enig med bookiene her, så står over spill…
Kl. 1730: Allenby vs. Donald
– Snitt vinnerodds: 32/48
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 9-7/8-4
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 2-2-1/1-1-0
– Match odds: 1,969 Betfair (2,02 før kommisjon), 1,952 Pinnacle / 2,07 Expekt, 2,05 Sportingbet. (100,4 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 53/47.
– Vurdering: Betfair og Pinnacle skiller seg ganske kraftig ut fra resten av markedet her, og jeg anbefaler 2 units på Allenby til 1,969 i odds.
GARY PLAYER
Kl. 2006: Westwood vs. Watney
– Snitt vinnerodds: 18/51
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 6-9/1-0
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 2-4-0/0
– Match odds: 1,694 Betfair (1,73 før kommisjon), 1,68 Pinnacle / 2,44 Expekt. (100,6 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 60/40.
– Vurdering: Westwood har spilt fantastisk over lang tid, og er en langt bedre spiller enn Watney, han har dog ikke hatt noen god historikk i denne turneringen, noe som trekker ned. Jeg er ganske enig med bookien så står over spill.
Kl. 2018: Els vs. Goosen
– Snitt vinnerodds: 35/39
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 10-10/13-9
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 3-3-0/3-2-0
– Match odds: 1,92 12bet, 1,91 Ladbrokes / 2,06 Pinnacle, 2,064 Betfair (2,12 før kommisjon) (99,4 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 49/51.
– Vurdering: Goosen har vist veldig god form den seneste tiden, og om vi ser bort fra hans aller siste turnering skal han absolutt rangeres med mye bedre form enn Els. Begge to spilte godt i går, men Goosen har noe medre historikk i match spill. Jeg har det som en jevn ball, med Goosen som en svak favoritt. Jeg anbefaler 3 units på Goosen til 2,06 i odds.
Kl. 1830: Crane vs. Yang Rakk ikke å vurdere.
– Snitt vinnerodds: 106/113
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 1-0/1-0
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/0-1-0
– Match odds:
– Mine prosenter:
– Vurdering:
Kl. 1842: Ogilvy vs. Villegas
– Snitt vinnerodds: 16/61
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 18-2/3-2
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 2-0-0/0-1-0
– Match odds: 1,676 Pinnacle / 2,44 12bet. (99,4 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 60/40.
– Vurdering: Hadde dette vært en vanlig H2H-spill ville jeg rangert Villegas minst like høyt som Ogilvy, men jeg kan rett og slett ikke ignorere Ogilvy’s fantastiske 18-2 historikk i denne turneringen, samt hans 2-0-0 historikk i Presient Cup singles – han er rett og slett ekstremt god i match. Bookien er enig med meg her, så ingen spill å anbefale.
SAM SNEAD
Kl. 1918: Furyk vs. Schwartzel
– Snitt vinnerodds: 32/64
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 10-9/2-1
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 8-4-1/0
– Match odds: 1,732 BetDAQ (1,77 før kommisjon), 1,73 Eurobet mfl. / 2,25 Pinnacle, Expekt mfl. (97,9 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 56/44.
– Vurdering: Furyk er helt klart en bedre spiller en Schwartzel, men sistnevnte har hatt en kjempesesong sålangt, og skal absolutt ikke undervurderes her. Jeg er ganske enig med bookiene, så står over spill.
Kl. 1930: O’Hair vs. Cink
– Snitt vinnerodds: 35/36
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 5-2/19-10
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 1-0-0/5-3
– Match odds: 2,05 Pinnacle / 1,91 Sportingbet, Totesport, Ladbrokes. (98,9 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 48/52.
– Vurdering: O’Hair har vist noe bedre form i slutten av fjoråret og starten av denne sesongen, men han har vært ute noen uker pga. en håndleddsskade, og det elinimerer noe av fordelen fra den formen, og totalt sett har jeg Cink som en smule bedre spiller, og med sin gode match historikk og seieren i går hvor han kom fra 4 ned etter 6 hull til å vinne 2 opp etter 18 – så har jeg Cink som en liten favoritt her. Det har også bookiene, så jeg står over spill.
Kl. 1742: Casey vs. Weir: Rakk ikke å vurdere.
– Snitt vinnerodds: 36/101
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 11-7/7-9
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 1-1-1/3-1-1
– Match odds:
– Mine prosenter:
– Vurdering:
Kl. 1754: Gay vs. Z. Johnson Rakk ikke å vurdere.
– Snitt vinnerodds: 112/47
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 1-0/7-5
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/0-3-0
– Match odds:
– Mine prosenter:
– Vurdering:
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